Normally hurricanes early in the season start near Africa, cross the Atlantic, and forecasters try to figure out if and where they will make landfall.
But currently there seems to be a “home grown” system called “Invest 92” growing from right here in the southeastern US.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Friday July 4 2025
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America (Gulf of Mexico):
Near the Southeastern United States (Invest 92): Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area of low pressure located about 100 miles off the northeast Florida coast. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conductive for further development, and a short-lived tropical or subtropical depression could form late today or on Saturday while the system drifts northward. This low is expected to move inland over the southeastern U.S. Saturday night or early Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
Forecaster: John Cangialosi, National Hurricane Center/Beven
Longer term, nothing is happening yet from across the pond near Africa where trouble usually starts in early season.
As for my direct observations, 9:00am here at Jekyll Island GA, there is a fair amount of blue sky, but mostly cloudy (mixed types), calm winds and sea.
Addendum:
